Welcome back to SunSport`s Weekend Wager, offering top betting advice for this weekend`s Premier League games.
While the title race is decided, the battle for Champions League spots is intensifying with several key matches scheduled.
The weekend features a major clash at Anfield between Liverpool and Arsenal, where Arsenal will aim to finish strongly. Other significant matches include Newcastle vs Chelsea and Bournemouth vs Aston Villa, crucial for European qualification hopes.
SunSport`s betting experts, including host Will Pugh, journalist Kweku Afari, and Betfair expert James Mackie, share their top tips for these fixtures.
- Liverpool vs Arsenal – Sunday, 4:30pm
- Kweku`s Tip: Mohamed Salah to score anytime (7/5)
- Will`s Tip: Match to end in a Draw (15/8)
- James` Tip: Virgil van Dijk to have 2+ Shots (12/5)
- Bournemouth vs Aston Villa – Saturday 5:30pm
- Kweku`s Tip: Emiliano Martinez to make 5+ Saves (11/4)
- Will`s Tip: Draw at Halftime, Bournemouth Win at Fulltime (11/2)
- James` Tip: Ollie Watkins to Score or Assist (11/10)
- Ascot, Victoria Cup – Saturday, 2:40pm
- James` Tip: Qirat to Win Victoria Cup (5/1)
Liverpool vs Arsenal – Sunday, 4:30pm
Kweku`s Tip: Mohamed Salah to score anytime (7/5)
Kweku highlights the value in betting on Mohamed Salah to score. Despite the odds, Salah is the league`s top scorer with 28 goals and leads in assists, proving himself a key player in big matches. His record against Arsenal (11 league goals) is particularly strong, suggesting he`s likely to perform after a disappointing recent game.
Will`s Tip: Match to end in a Draw (15/8)
Will finds the Liverpool vs Arsenal match hard to predict, with less at stake and Arsenal potentially deflated. While Anfield`s atmosphere favors Liverpool, predicting a winner is difficult. The history shows Liverpool are unbeaten at home against Arsenal in their last 14 meetings (7 wins, 7 draws) since 2012. However, Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 5 Premier League games against Liverpool (2 wins, 3 draws). Arsenal`s record against champions after the title is decided is mixed (a draw vs Man Utd in 2012-13 and a win vs Liverpool in 2019-20). Given these conflicting factors, a draw seems a plausible outcome.
James` Tip: Virgil van Dijk to have 2+ Shots (12/5)
James sees value in Virgil van Dijk taking two or more shots. Van Dijk has scored twice in his last four games and had 2+ shots in three of those. His aerial threat from corners is significant. Arsenal`s weakness in defending set pieces this season (conceding 39% of goals from set plays, the highest in the league) further supports this bet. Sunday is also Van Dijk`s 300th Premier League appearance, adding symbolic weight.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa – Saturday 5:30pm
Kweku`s Tip: Emiliano Martinez to make 5+ Saves (11/4)
Kweku predicts a busy game for Aston Villa goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez. Bournemouth`s high press under Andoni Iraola generates many scoring opportunities; they lead the league in shots (65) and goals (8) from high turnovers this season. Antoine Semenyo also ranks high in overall shots taken (118). Despite creating chances, Bournemouth doesn`t always convert them, suggesting Martinez will be called upon frequently. Betting on Martinez to make five or more saves at 11/4 is favored.
Will`s Tip: Draw at Halftime, Bournemouth Win at Fulltime (11/2)
Will suggests a half-time draw leading to a full-time win for Bournemouth. Bournemouth excel in scoring late goals, leading the league in second-half stoppage time goals (8), while Villa have conceded significantly in this period (8 goals, only Southampton conceded more). Bournemouth also have a strong recent home record against Villa (unbeaten in 3, scoring exactly two goals in each) and have shown resilience against higher-placed teams, winning over half of their games against teams above them this season. This indicates they have the stamina and capability to secure a late victory.
James` Tip: Ollie Watkins to Score or Assist (11/10)
James considers betting on Ollie Watkins to score or assist as the `bet of the weekend`. Getting odds against a top Premier League striker contributing to a goal against a favorable opponent is appealing. Watkins has a strong record against Bournemouth, being directly involved in five goals (one goal, four assists) in four Premier League starts against them. His four assists against Bournemouth are the most he has recorded against any single opponent.
Ascot, Victoria Cup – Saturday, 2:40pm
James` Tip: Qirat to Win Victoria Cup (5/1)
James selects Qirat at 5/1 for the Victoria Cup race at Ascot. Trained by Ralph Beckett and ridden by Ross O`Ryan, Qirat has proven form at Ascot, finishing second in a strong 18-runner handicap. James believes Qirat is a `group horse` running in a handicap, suggesting it has higher potential than its current rating implies. Despite running off a slightly higher mark (99) than previous successful runs (won off 92, placed off 97/98), its strong previous performance at Ascot on the straight course makes it a promising bet for its first run of the season.