Can TKO Break Ticketmaster’s Live Events Grip?

TKO Group Holdings, the parent company of UFC and WWE, is being eyed as a potential contender to Ticketmaster's long-standing dominance in the live event ticketing industry. This speculation arises in the wake of Live Nation's recent antitrust settlement, which has created new opportunities for rival platforms such as StubHub and SeatGeek, reflecting a broader shift in the market landscape.

Antitrust Settlement Reshapes Ticketing Landscape

Live Nation recently reached a settlement in an antitrust lawsuit initiated by the U.S. Department of Justice in 2024. This agreement, pending court approval, mandates a $280 million payment to the states involved in the suit. Crucially, it compels Ticketmaster to permit competitors like SeatGeek to utilize certain sections of its platform for ticket sales.

The settlement empowers venues with increased flexibility, allowing them to choose ticketing services from rivals such as StubHub and SeatGeek. Furthermore, the duration of exclusive contracts with Ticketmaster is now capped at four years, and service fees are limited to a maximum of 15% of the ticket price.

Given that Live Nation oversees more than 460 venues and Ticketmaster commands approximately 80% of the primary ticketing market, a significant aspect of the settlement removes the previous mandate requiring artists performing at Live Nation venues to exclusively use Ticketmaster for their ticketing needs.

TKO's Growing Presence in Live Events

Formed in 2023 through the merger of UFC and WWE, TKO established a dedicated Live Events Strategy Team to oversee scheduling, ticketing, and fan experiences for both entities. This strategic focus has yielded impressive results, with WWE live event revenue climbing to $82.5 million in Q3 2025, a substantial increase from $51.1 million in the same period the previous year.

Since the merger, ticket prices for WWE's North American televised events have nearly doubled, with 2025 data from Pollstar indicating significantly higher averages. Attendance has also expanded, with an average distribution of 11,500 tickets per RAW and SmackDown event. TKO confirms robust demand, and WWE President Nick Khan has indicated intentions to further increase prices in areas where capacity remains high. Additionally, European tour tickets saw strong sales in anticipation of the 2026 Royal Rumble in Saudi Arabia.

The Role of Ticketmaster, StubHub, and SeatGeek in the Evolving Market

Platforms like StubHub already serve as a marketplace for resale tickets for UFC events, with examples such as Fight Night: Evolev vs. Murphy at The O2 Arena on March 21, 2026, showing starting prices around £320 for upper-tier seats. SeatGeek is explicitly mentioned in the settlement as a direct beneficiary, leveraging features like "DealScore" to compare prices and attract consumers looking for alternatives to Ticketmaster. While Ticketmaster continues to be the primary vendor for official UFC and WWE sales, the high demand for TKO events consistently fills arenas, thereby boosting activity in secondary markets like StubHub and SeatGeek.

This landmark settlement will have implications across the entire live events sector, directly impacting TKO's substantial calendar of over 300 WWE shows and 40-45 UFC cards annually. Major venues, such as the T-Mobile Arena, have already extended their agreements with TKO through 2030, and TKO is actively seeking to forge $1 billion in new partnerships, which explicitly includes ticketing arrangements.

The Live Nation settlement presents a significant opportunity for UFC events under TKO to directly challenge Ticketmaster's market stronghold. This allows major venues, like T-Mobile Arena which hosts over 40 events annually, to engage with alternative ticketing providers such as SeatGeek or StubHub without being bound by restrictive long-term contracts. With TKO's live event revenue reaching record highs, propelled by WWE ticket prices doubling since the 2023 merger, discussions are intensifying about the potential for TKO to develop its own ticketing platforms or partner with rivals to capitalize further on its 300+ annual shows, especially with growing demand from Saudi Arabian expansions and successful European tours driving secondary market activity.